« April 2005 | Main | June 2005 »

May 19, 2005

reducing our dependence on fossil fuels?? / Thanks Kathy G.

Senate rejects better mileage for gas guzzlers
May 18, 2005
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Senate Energy Committee on Wednesday rejected a Democratic plan to require sport utility vehicles and minivans to become more fuel efficient and achieve the same gasoline mileage as passenger cars in six years.

Under the failed proposal, SUVs and other light trucks would have to meet the same 27.5 mile-per-gallon rule for passenger cars by 2011, up from a current 21 mpg for light trucks.

Democrat Dianne Feinstein of California tried to add the plan to a broad energy bill being debated by the committee. The panel voted against it, 15 to 7.

Supporters said closing the so-called "SUV loophole" would reduce U.S crude oil imports, cut down on polluting emissions spewed by vehicles and save consumers money at the pump.

Opponents said imposing a higher fuel standard would place further burdens on U.S. automakers that are already suffering financially, endangering thousands of high-paying jobs. They also said the government should not dictate what vehicles consumers buy.

"I think mothers and fathers can make those decisions themselves," said Republican George Allen of Virginia.
However, Feinstein pointed out that consumers are on waiting lists to buy more fuel-efficient hybrid vehicles made by Japanese automakers, while U.S. companies are stuck with growing inventories of gas-guzzling SUVs.

"They (U.S. automakers) have essentially refused to listen to the marketplace," she said. "Toyota is going to eat their lunch."

Ford Motor Co and General Motors Corp. have seen demand for their once highly-profitable SUVS plunge in recent months as retail gasoline prices rose to record highs.

Chairman Pete Domenici of New Mexico said another provision in the bill would require the president to find ways to cut U.S. oil demand by 1 million barrels per day by 2015.

U.S. oil demand averages about 21 million barrrels per day, with imports accounting for 3 out of every 5 barrels consumed. Gasoline use makes up 40 percent of total oil demand.

Separately, Domenici said he expects lawmakers to offer an amendment to the energy bill to boost annual ethanol production possibly to 8 billion gallons. The corn-based additive, which has broad support among lawmakers from farm states, helps stretch U.S. gasoline supplies and makes fuel burn cleaner.

Energy legislation passed by the U.S. House recently would set an annual ethanol mandate of 5 billion gallons by 2012.
On Wednesday, the Senate committee approved provisions in the energy bill related to coal, hydrogen, and energy research and development. The bill would provide $200 million annually for nine years to promote clean coal technologies.

reducing our dependence on fossil fuels?? / Thanks Kathy G.

Senate rejects better mileage for gas guzzlers
May 18, 2005
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Senate Energy Committee on Wednesday rejected a Democratic plan to require sport utility vehicles and minivans to become more fuel efficient and achieve the same gasoline mileage as passenger cars in six years.

Under the failed proposal, SUVs and other light trucks would have to meet the same 27.5 mile-per-gallon rule for passenger cars by 2011, up from a current 21 mpg for light trucks.

Democrat Dianne Feinstein of California tried to add the plan to a broad energy bill being debated by the committee. The panel voted against it, 15 to 7.

Supporters said closing the so-called "SUV loophole" would reduce U.S crude oil imports, cut down on polluting emissions spewed by vehicles and save consumers money at the pump.

Opponents said imposing a higher fuel standard would place further burdens on U.S. automakers that are already suffering financially, endangering thousands of high-paying jobs. They also said the government should not dictate what vehicles consumers buy.

"I think mothers and fathers can make those decisions themselves," said Republican George Allen of Virginia.
However, Feinstein pointed out that consumers are on waiting lists to buy more fuel-efficient hybrid vehicles made by Japanese automakers, while U.S. companies are stuck with growing inventories of gas-guzzling SUVs.

"They (U.S. automakers) have essentially refused to listen to the marketplace," she said. "Toyota is going to eat their lunch."

Ford Motor Co and General Motors Corp. have seen demand for their once highly-profitable SUVS plunge in recent months as retail gasoline prices rose to record highs.

Chairman Pete Domenici of New Mexico said another provision in the bill would require the president to find ways to cut U.S. oil demand by 1 million barrels per day by 2015.

U.S. oil demand averages about 21 million barrrels per day, with imports accounting for 3 out of every 5 barrels consumed. Gasoline use makes up 40 percent of total oil demand.

Separately, Domenici said he expects lawmakers to offer an amendment to the energy bill to boost annual ethanol production possibly to 8 billion gallons. The corn-based additive, which has broad support among lawmakers from farm states, helps stretch U.S. gasoline supplies and makes fuel burn cleaner.

Energy legislation passed by the U.S. House recently would set an annual ethanol mandate of 5 billion gallons by 2012.
On Wednesday, the Senate committee approved provisions in the energy bill related to coal, hydrogen, and energy research and development. The bill would provide $200 million annually for nine years to promote clean coal technologies.

DIECAST TOUR

30.05. Brighton - Old Market (England)
31.05. Exeter - Phoenix (England)
01.06. Bristol - Beer Keller (England)
02.06. Swindon - Furnace (England)
03.06. Edinburgh - Studio 24 (Scotland)
04.06. Sheffield - Club Zero (England)
05.06. Milton Keynes - Pitz (England)
06.06. Nijmegen - Doornroosje (Netherlands)
07.06. Breda - Mezz (Netherlands)
09.06. Copenhagen - The Rock (Denmark)
11.06. Frederikstad - Maane Festivalen (Norway)
12.06. Helsingborg - Tivoli (Sweden)
13.06. Aarhus - Train (Denmark)
16.06. Giessen - MUK (Germany)
17.06. Trier - Ultimate Summer Blast Open (Ger)
18.06. Salzgitter - Forellenhof (Germany)
22.06. Zilina - Guru Club (Slovakia)
23.06. Debrecen - Vekeri Festival (Hungary)
24.06. Wachenroth - Suffering Festival (Ger)
25.06. Herne - Pressure Festival (Germany)
26.06. Le Mans - Fury Fest (France)
27.06. Limoges - CC John Lennon (France)
28.06. Bilbao - tba (Spain)
29.06. Lisboa - tba (Portugal)
30.06. Madrid - Ritmo & Compas (Spain)
01.07. Barcelona - KGB (Spain)
02.07. Ramonville - Salle des Fetes (France)
03.07. Montpellier - Rockstore (France)
04.07. Milano - Open Air Festival (Italy)
06.07. Zagreb - Mochvara (Croatia)
07.07. Novi Sad - Exit Summer Fest (Serbia)
10.07. Augsburg - Kantine (Germany)
11.07. Stuttgart - Röhre (Germany)
13.07. Paris - Maroquienerie or Salle Curial (Fra)
14.07. Mulhouse - Noumatrouff (France)
15.07. Darmstadt - Goldene Krone (Germany)
16.07. Dour - Festival (Belgium)
17.07. London - Koko (England)
17.07. Birmingham - Acadamy 2 (England)

DIECAST TOUR

30.05. Brighton - Old Market (England)
31.05. Exeter - Phoenix (England)
01.06. Bristol - Beer Keller (England)
02.06. Swindon - Furnace (England)
03.06. Edinburgh - Studio 24 (Scotland)
04.06. Sheffield - Club Zero (England)
05.06. Milton Keynes - Pitz (England)
06.06. Nijmegen - Doornroosje (Netherlands)
07.06. Breda - Mezz (Netherlands)
09.06. Copenhagen - The Rock (Denmark)
11.06. Frederikstad - Maane Festivalen (Norway)
12.06. Helsingborg - Tivoli (Sweden)
13.06. Aarhus - Train (Denmark)
16.06. Giessen - MUK (Germany)
17.06. Trier - Ultimate Summer Blast Open (Ger)
18.06. Salzgitter - Forellenhof (Germany)
22.06. Zilina - Guru Club (Slovakia)
23.06. Debrecen - Vekeri Festival (Hungary)
24.06. Wachenroth - Suffering Festival (Ger)
25.06. Herne - Pressure Festival (Germany)
26.06. Le Mans - Fury Fest (France)
27.06. Limoges - CC John Lennon (France)
28.06. Bilbao - tba (Spain)
29.06. Lisboa - tba (Portugal)
30.06. Madrid - Ritmo & Compas (Spain)
01.07. Barcelona - KGB (Spain)
02.07. Ramonville - Salle des Fetes (France)
03.07. Montpellier - Rockstore (France)
04.07. Milano - Open Air Festival (Italy)
06.07. Zagreb - Mochvara (Croatia)
07.07. Novi Sad - Exit Summer Fest (Serbia)
10.07. Augsburg - Kantine (Germany)
11.07. Stuttgart - Röhre (Germany)
13.07. Paris - Maroquienerie or Salle Curial (Fra)
14.07. Mulhouse - Noumatrouff (France)
15.07. Darmstadt - Goldene Krone (Germany)
16.07. Dour - Festival (Belgium)
17.07. London - Koko (England)
17.07. Birmingham - Acadamy 2 (England)

Lock this guy up and throw away the key

Drunk Driving Defendant Sobs at Sentencing, Then Makes Nasty Comment to Victim's Daughter
The Associated Press
Published: May 19, 2005

PENSACOLA, Fla. (AP) - A drunk driver being sentenced for a fatal crash sobbed and expressed remorse on the witness stand - then made a nasty remark to the victim's daughter as he was leaving the courtroom.
Donald Hawkins, 32, of Chunchula, Ala., received the maximum 15-year prison sentence Wednesday for drunken driving manslaughter. He had pleaded guilty in the crash that killed Mary Archer, 64, in December 2003 when he ran a stop sign while speeding in a 35 mph zone.

Trembling on the stand, Hawkins talked about his "tragic mistake" and said he had stopped drinking.

But as he was turning to leave the courtroom after learning his sentence, Hawkins told one of the victim's daughters, "I hope this happens to one of your children."

Relatives were shocked by the comment from the handcuffed defendant.

Lock this guy up and throw away the key

Drunk Driving Defendant Sobs at Sentencing, Then Makes Nasty Comment to Victim's Daughter
The Associated Press
Published: May 19, 2005

PENSACOLA, Fla. (AP) - A drunk driver being sentenced for a fatal crash sobbed and expressed remorse on the witness stand - then made a nasty remark to the victim's daughter as he was leaving the courtroom.
Donald Hawkins, 32, of Chunchula, Ala., received the maximum 15-year prison sentence Wednesday for drunken driving manslaughter. He had pleaded guilty in the crash that killed Mary Archer, 64, in December 2003 when he ran a stop sign while speeding in a 35 mph zone.

Trembling on the stand, Hawkins talked about his "tragic mistake" and said he had stopped drinking.

But as he was turning to leave the courtroom after learning his sentence, Hawkins told one of the victim's daughters, "I hope this happens to one of your children."

Relatives were shocked by the comment from the handcuffed defendant.

Another AMTRAK

Greenspan Builds Case for Limiting Fannie, Freddie Holdings

By Jeannine Aversa The Associated Press
Published: May 19, 2005


WASHINGTON (AP) - Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan again pushed for limits on the multibillion-dollar mortgage holdings of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, saying such restrictions would not hurt the thriving housing market.
Greenspan, who has been pressing Congress to limit the holdings of the two mortgage giants, warned on Thursday that their debt poses a risk to U.S. financial markets.

As Fannie and Freddie grow ever larger, their ability "to quickly correct a misjudgment in their complex hedging strategies becomes more difficult," Greenspan said. "We are thus highly dependent on the risk managers at Fannie and Freddie to do everything right."

Greenspan made his remarks in a speech delivered via satellite to a housing conference in Atlanta. A copy of the speech was distributed in Washington.

Congress is exploring various proposals to rein in Fannie Mae, the No. 1 U.S. buyer of home mortgages, and its rival, Freddie Mac, which ranks as the second-largest buyer. They were created by Congress to inject money into the home-loan market. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac buy mortgages and bundle them into securities for sale to investors worldwide.

At the end of 1990, Fannie's and Freddie's combined portfolios amounted to $132 billion, Greenspan said. By 2003, their combined holdings came to $1.5 trillion.

"The assets required for Fannie and Freddie to achieve their mission are but a small fraction of the current level of their assets," Greenspan said. Thus if Congress were to limit the two companies' holdings so that they can achieve their mission, a substantial liquidation would be required over time, the Fed chief said.

He said this could be done fairly smoothly, without disruptions to the housing market. "The implementation of portfolio limits should pose no significant difficulties," Greenspan said.

Unwinding some of Fannie's and Freddie's holdings would not raise mortgage rates for homeowners because so many big banks and other lenders compete with them in the home-loan market, he said.

Greenspan said the Fed also sees little evidence to support the notion that the availability of fixed-rate mortgages is tied to the size of Fannie's and Freddie's portfolios. He also said it is "difficult to see" how the two companies' portfolios can influence home ownership.

Another AMTRAK

Greenspan Builds Case for Limiting Fannie, Freddie Holdings

By Jeannine Aversa The Associated Press
Published: May 19, 2005


WASHINGTON (AP) - Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan again pushed for limits on the multibillion-dollar mortgage holdings of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, saying such restrictions would not hurt the thriving housing market.
Greenspan, who has been pressing Congress to limit the holdings of the two mortgage giants, warned on Thursday that their debt poses a risk to U.S. financial markets.

As Fannie and Freddie grow ever larger, their ability "to quickly correct a misjudgment in their complex hedging strategies becomes more difficult," Greenspan said. "We are thus highly dependent on the risk managers at Fannie and Freddie to do everything right."

Greenspan made his remarks in a speech delivered via satellite to a housing conference in Atlanta. A copy of the speech was distributed in Washington.

Congress is exploring various proposals to rein in Fannie Mae, the No. 1 U.S. buyer of home mortgages, and its rival, Freddie Mac, which ranks as the second-largest buyer. They were created by Congress to inject money into the home-loan market. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac buy mortgages and bundle them into securities for sale to investors worldwide.

At the end of 1990, Fannie's and Freddie's combined portfolios amounted to $132 billion, Greenspan said. By 2003, their combined holdings came to $1.5 trillion.

"The assets required for Fannie and Freddie to achieve their mission are but a small fraction of the current level of their assets," Greenspan said. Thus if Congress were to limit the two companies' holdings so that they can achieve their mission, a substantial liquidation would be required over time, the Fed chief said.

He said this could be done fairly smoothly, without disruptions to the housing market. "The implementation of portfolio limits should pose no significant difficulties," Greenspan said.

Unwinding some of Fannie's and Freddie's holdings would not raise mortgage rates for homeowners because so many big banks and other lenders compete with them in the home-loan market, he said.

Greenspan said the Fed also sees little evidence to support the notion that the availability of fixed-rate mortgages is tied to the size of Fannie's and Freddie's portfolios. He also said it is "difficult to see" how the two companies' portfolios can influence home ownership.

What....me worry

Patriot Act renewal would expand FBI powers
Administrative subpoenas OK'd in draft version
By Mark Sherman, Associated Press | May 19, 2005

WASHINGTON -- The chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee is working on a bill that would renew the Patriot Act and expand government powers in the name of fighting terrorism, letting the FBI subpoena records without permission from a judge or grand jury.

Much of the debate in Congress has concerned possibly limiting some of the powers in the antiterrorism law passed 45 days after the attacks of Sept. 11, 2001.

But the measure being written by Senator Pat Roberts, Republican of Kansas, would give the FBI new power to issue administrative subpoenas, which are not reviewed by a judge or grand jury, according to aides for the GOP majority on the committee who briefed reporters yesterday. The subpoenas would allow the agency to quickly obtain records, electronic data, or other evidence in terrorism investigations.

Under the proposal, recipients could challenge the subpoenas in court and the Bush administration would have to report to Congress twice a year on how it uses this investigatory power, the aides said.

The administration has sought this power for two years, but so far it has been rebuffed by lawmakers. It is far from certain that Congress will give the administration everything it wants this year.

Roberts's planned bill also would make it easier for prosecutors to use special court-approved warrants for secret wiretaps and searches of suspected terrorists and spies in criminal cases, the committee aides said.

Eight expiring sections of the law that deal with foreign intelligence investigations would become permanent, they said. So, too, would a provision authorizing wiretapping of suspected terrorists who operate without clear ties to a particular terrorist network.

The aides spoke on condition of anonymity because Roberts has yet to make public the bill's contents.

Opponents of expanding the Patriot Act said Roberts' proposal would amount to an expansive wish list for the administration.

''While we're fighting to bring provisions . . . back into balance with the Bill of Rights, here we have the intelligence committee moving to give the government more power outside the judicial system to gain access to records of Americans," said former GOP Representative Bob Barr of Georgia, a critic of the law.

What....me worry

Patriot Act renewal would expand FBI powers
Administrative subpoenas OK'd in draft version
By Mark Sherman, Associated Press | May 19, 2005

WASHINGTON -- The chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee is working on a bill that would renew the Patriot Act and expand government powers in the name of fighting terrorism, letting the FBI subpoena records without permission from a judge or grand jury.

Much of the debate in Congress has concerned possibly limiting some of the powers in the antiterrorism law passed 45 days after the attacks of Sept. 11, 2001.

But the measure being written by Senator Pat Roberts, Republican of Kansas, would give the FBI new power to issue administrative subpoenas, which are not reviewed by a judge or grand jury, according to aides for the GOP majority on the committee who briefed reporters yesterday. The subpoenas would allow the agency to quickly obtain records, electronic data, or other evidence in terrorism investigations.

Under the proposal, recipients could challenge the subpoenas in court and the Bush administration would have to report to Congress twice a year on how it uses this investigatory power, the aides said.

The administration has sought this power for two years, but so far it has been rebuffed by lawmakers. It is far from certain that Congress will give the administration everything it wants this year.

Roberts's planned bill also would make it easier for prosecutors to use special court-approved warrants for secret wiretaps and searches of suspected terrorists and spies in criminal cases, the committee aides said.

Eight expiring sections of the law that deal with foreign intelligence investigations would become permanent, they said. So, too, would a provision authorizing wiretapping of suspected terrorists who operate without clear ties to a particular terrorist network.

The aides spoke on condition of anonymity because Roberts has yet to make public the bill's contents.

Opponents of expanding the Patriot Act said Roberts' proposal would amount to an expansive wish list for the administration.

''While we're fighting to bring provisions . . . back into balance with the Bill of Rights, here we have the intelligence committee moving to give the government more power outside the judicial system to gain access to records of Americans," said former GOP Representative Bob Barr of Georgia, a critic of the law.

May 17, 2005

straight from the Sunday Times of London

May 01, 2005
The secret Downing Street memo

SECRET AND STRICTLY PERSONAL - UK EYES ONLY

DAVID MANNING
From: Matthew Rycroft
Date: 23 July 2002
S 195 /02

cc: Defence Secretary, Foreign Secretary, Attorney-General, Sir Richard Wilson, John Scarlett, Francis Richards, CDS, C, Jonathan Powell, Sally Morgan, Alastair Campbell

IRAQ: PRIME MINISTER'S MEETING, 23 JULY

Copy addressees and you met the Prime Minister on 23 July to discuss Iraq.

This record is extremely sensitive. No further copies should be made. It should be shown only to those with a genuine need to know its contents.

John Scarlett summarised the intelligence and latest JIC assessment. Saddam's regime was tough and based on extreme fear. The only way to overthrow it was likely to be by massive military action. Saddam was worried and expected an attack, probably by air and land, but he was not convinced that it would be immediate or overwhelming. His regime expected their neighbours to line up with the US. Saddam knew that regular army morale was poor. Real support for Saddam among the public was probably narrowly based.

C reported on his recent talks in Washington. There was a perceptible shift in attitude. Military action was now seen as inevitable. Bush wanted to remove Saddam, through military action, justified by the conjunction of terrorism and WMD. But the intelligence and facts were being fixed around the policy. The NSC had no patience with the UN route, and no enthusiasm for publishing material on the Iraqi regime's record. There was little discussion in Washington of the aftermath after military action.

CDS said that military planners would brief CENTCOM on 1-2 August, Rumsfeld on 3 August and Bush on 4 August.

The two broad US options were:

(a) Generated Start. A slow build-up of 250,000 US troops, a short (72 hour) air campaign, then a move up to Baghdad from the south. Lead time of 90 days (30 days preparation plus 60 days deployment to Kuwait).

(b) Running Start. Use forces already in theatre (3 x 6,000), continuous air campaign, initiated by an Iraqi casus belli. Total lead time of 60 days with the air campaign beginning even earlier. A hazardous option.

The US saw the UK (and Kuwait) as essential, with basing in Diego Garcia and Cyprus critical for either option. Turkey and other Gulf states were also important, but less vital. The three main options for UK involvement were:

(i) Basing in Diego Garcia and Cyprus, plus three SF squadrons.

(ii) As above, with maritime and air assets in addition.

(iii) As above, plus a land contribution of up to 40,000, perhaps with a discrete role in Northern Iraq entering from Turkey, tying down two Iraqi divisions.

The Defence Secretary said that the US had already begun "spikes of activity" to put pressure on the regime. No decisions had been taken, but he thought the most likely timing in US minds for military action to begin was January, with the timeline beginning 30 days before the US Congressional elections.

The Foreign Secretary said he would discuss this with Colin Powell this week. It seemed clear that Bush had made up his mind to take military action, even if the timing was not yet decided. But the case was thin. Saddam was not threatening his neighbours, and his WMD capability was less than that of Libya, North Korea or Iran. We should work up a plan for an ultimatum to Saddam to allow back in the UN weapons inspectors. This would also help with the legal justification for the use of force.

The Attorney-General said that the desire for regime change was not a legal base for military action. There were three possible legal bases: self-defence, humanitarian intervention, or UNSC authorisation. The first and second could not be the base in this case. Relying on UNSCR 1205 of three years ago would be difficult. The situation might of course change.


The Prime Minister said that it would make a big difference politically and legally if Saddam refused to allow in the UN inspectors. Regime change and WMD were linked in the sense that it was the regime that was producing the WMD. There were different strategies for dealing with Libya and Iran. If the political context were right, people would support regime change. The two key issues were whether the military plan worked and whether we had the political strategy to give the military plan the space to work.

On the first, CDS said that we did not know yet if the US battleplan was workable. The military were continuing to ask lots of questions.

For instance, what were the consequences, if Saddam used WMD on day one, or if Baghdad did not collapse and urban warfighting began? You said that Saddam could also use his WMD on Kuwait. Or on Israel, added the Defence Secretary.

The Foreign Secretary thought the US would not go ahead with a military plan unless convinced that it was a winning strategy. On this, US and UK interests converged. But on the political strategy, there could be US/UK differences. Despite US resistance, we should explore discreetly the ultimatum. Saddam would continue to play hard-ball with the UN.

John Scarlett assessed that Saddam would allow the inspectors back in only when he thought the threat of military action was real.

The Defence Secretary said that if the Prime Minister wanted UK military involvement, he would need to decide this early. He cautioned that many in the US did not think it worth going down the ultimatum route. It would be important for the Prime Minister to set out the political context to Bush.

Conclusions:

(a) We should work on the assumption that the UK would take part in any military action. But we needed a fuller picture of US planning before we could take any firm decisions. CDS should tell the US military that we were considering a range of options.

(b) The Prime Minister would revert on the question of whether funds could be spent in preparation for this operation.

(c) CDS would send the Prime Minister full details of the proposed military campaign and possible UK contributions by the end of the week.


(d) The Foreign Secretary would send the Prime Minister the background on the UN inspectors, and discreetly work up the ultimatum to Saddam.

He would also send the Prime Minister advice on the positions of countries in the region especially Turkey, and of the key EU member states.

(e) John Scarlett would send the Prime Minister a full intelligence update.

(f) We must not ignore the legal issues: the Attorney-General would consider legal advice with FCO/MOD legal advisers.

(I have written separately to commission this follow-up work.)


MATTHEW RYCROFT

(Rycroft was a Downing Street foreign policy aide)

straight from the Sunday Times of London

May 01, 2005
The secret Downing Street memo

SECRET AND STRICTLY PERSONAL - UK EYES ONLY

DAVID MANNING
From: Matthew Rycroft
Date: 23 July 2002
S 195 /02

cc: Defence Secretary, Foreign Secretary, Attorney-General, Sir Richard Wilson, John Scarlett, Francis Richards, CDS, C, Jonathan Powell, Sally Morgan, Alastair Campbell

IRAQ: PRIME MINISTER'S MEETING, 23 JULY

Copy addressees and you met the Prime Minister on 23 July to discuss Iraq.

This record is extremely sensitive. No further copies should be made. It should be shown only to those with a genuine need to know its contents.

John Scarlett summarised the intelligence and latest JIC assessment. Saddam's regime was tough and based on extreme fear. The only way to overthrow it was likely to be by massive military action. Saddam was worried and expected an attack, probably by air and land, but he was not convinced that it would be immediate or overwhelming. His regime expected their neighbours to line up with the US. Saddam knew that regular army morale was poor. Real support for Saddam among the public was probably narrowly based.

C reported on his recent talks in Washington. There was a perceptible shift in attitude. Military action was now seen as inevitable. Bush wanted to remove Saddam, through military action, justified by the conjunction of terrorism and WMD. But the intelligence and facts were being fixed around the policy. The NSC had no patience with the UN route, and no enthusiasm for publishing material on the Iraqi regime's record. There was little discussion in Washington of the aftermath after military action.

CDS said that military planners would brief CENTCOM on 1-2 August, Rumsfeld on 3 August and Bush on 4 August.

The two broad US options were:

(a) Generated Start. A slow build-up of 250,000 US troops, a short (72 hour) air campaign, then a move up to Baghdad from the south. Lead time of 90 days (30 days preparation plus 60 days deployment to Kuwait).

(b) Running Start. Use forces already in theatre (3 x 6,000), continuous air campaign, initiated by an Iraqi casus belli. Total lead time of 60 days with the air campaign beginning even earlier. A hazardous option.

The US saw the UK (and Kuwait) as essential, with basing in Diego Garcia and Cyprus critical for either option. Turkey and other Gulf states were also important, but less vital. The three main options for UK involvement were:

(i) Basing in Diego Garcia and Cyprus, plus three SF squadrons.

(ii) As above, with maritime and air assets in addition.

(iii) As above, plus a land contribution of up to 40,000, perhaps with a discrete role in Northern Iraq entering from Turkey, tying down two Iraqi divisions.

The Defence Secretary said that the US had already begun "spikes of activity" to put pressure on the regime. No decisions had been taken, but he thought the most likely timing in US minds for military action to begin was January, with the timeline beginning 30 days before the US Congressional elections.

The Foreign Secretary said he would discuss this with Colin Powell this week. It seemed clear that Bush had made up his mind to take military action, even if the timing was not yet decided. But the case was thin. Saddam was not threatening his neighbours, and his WMD capability was less than that of Libya, North Korea or Iran. We should work up a plan for an ultimatum to Saddam to allow back in the UN weapons inspectors. This would also help with the legal justification for the use of force.

The Attorney-General said that the desire for regime change was not a legal base for military action. There were three possible legal bases: self-defence, humanitarian intervention, or UNSC authorisation. The first and second could not be the base in this case. Relying on UNSCR 1205 of three years ago would be difficult. The situation might of course change.


The Prime Minister said that it would make a big difference politically and legally if Saddam refused to allow in the UN inspectors. Regime change and WMD were linked in the sense that it was the regime that was producing the WMD. There were different strategies for dealing with Libya and Iran. If the political context were right, people would support regime change. The two key issues were whether the military plan worked and whether we had the political strategy to give the military plan the space to work.

On the first, CDS said that we did not know yet if the US battleplan was workable. The military were continuing to ask lots of questions.

For instance, what were the consequences, if Saddam used WMD on day one, or if Baghdad did not collapse and urban warfighting began? You said that Saddam could also use his WMD on Kuwait. Or on Israel, added the Defence Secretary.

The Foreign Secretary thought the US would not go ahead with a military plan unless convinced that it was a winning strategy. On this, US and UK interests converged. But on the political strategy, there could be US/UK differences. Despite US resistance, we should explore discreetly the ultimatum. Saddam would continue to play hard-ball with the UN.

John Scarlett assessed that Saddam would allow the inspectors back in only when he thought the threat of military action was real.

The Defence Secretary said that if the Prime Minister wanted UK military involvement, he would need to decide this early. He cautioned that many in the US did not think it worth going down the ultimatum route. It would be important for the Prime Minister to set out the political context to Bush.

Conclusions:

(a) We should work on the assumption that the UK would take part in any military action. But we needed a fuller picture of US planning before we could take any firm decisions. CDS should tell the US military that we were considering a range of options.

(b) The Prime Minister would revert on the question of whether funds could be spent in preparation for this operation.

(c) CDS would send the Prime Minister full details of the proposed military campaign and possible UK contributions by the end of the week.


(d) The Foreign Secretary would send the Prime Minister the background on the UN inspectors, and discreetly work up the ultimatum to Saddam.

He would also send the Prime Minister advice on the positions of countries in the region especially Turkey, and of the key EU member states.

(e) John Scarlett would send the Prime Minister a full intelligence update.

(f) We must not ignore the legal issues: the Attorney-General would consider legal advice with FCO/MOD legal advisers.

(I have written separately to commission this follow-up work.)


MATTHEW RYCROFT

(Rycroft was a Downing Street foreign policy aide)

May 16, 2005

WHAT....ME WORRY

Retirement's Unraveling Safety Net
Social Security Is Least of Newer Generations' Worries

By Dale Russakoff
Washington Post Staff Writer
Sunday, May 15, 2005; Page A01

MIDDLE RIVER, Md. -- If it's a clear morning, you can count on seeing 80-year-old Junior K. Paugh strolling streets that tell his life story: Propeller Drive, Fuselage Avenue, Cockpit Street, Compass Road. He's been here more than 60 years, ever since aviation pioneer Glenn L. Martin put him to work making seaplanes and bombers at the defense plant down the road. Franklin D. Roosevelt was president and Martin himself walked the factory floor, urging on workers as the nation went to war.

Out of that perilous time came Paugh's now predictable world. He never is short of money, thanks to Social Security and his company pension that will last as long as he does. Health care costs him next to nothing, thanks to Medicare and retiree health insurance. His Baltimore County home is long paid for, thanks in part to a below-market price of $4,400, a result of wartime subsidies for defense-related housing construction.


Social Security
Retirement's Unraveling Safety Net
GOP Battles Public Displays of Division on Social Security
Bush Refocuses on Domestic Priorities
GOP Battles Public Displays of Division on Social Security
Bush Pitches Plan to Hispanics
More Stories

Free E-mail Newsletters
Daily Politics News & Analysis
See a Sample | Sign Up Now
Federal Insider
See a Sample | Sign Up Now
Breaking News Alerts
See a Sample | Sign Up Now

"I feel completely secure," says Paugh, no small triumph for the third of 13 children born to farmers in Depression-era Appalachia. The triumph is not only his but also the country's -- the fulfillment of a New Deal vision of cradle-to-grave security, underwritten by the federal government and large industrial employers.

That vision is being supplanted by one President Bush calls the Ownership Society, in which the burdens of economic security -- and, the president hopes, the rewards -- shift back to individuals. Social Security is only one aspect of the shift. The safety net big companies wove for Paugh's generation -- long-term employment, pension security, retiree health insurance -- has been giving way for so long that its unraveling is mere background accompaniment to Washington's noisy debate over Social Security. But in the lives of most middle-class families, it stays in the foreground, inseparable from the Social Security discussion.

This becomes clear in the company of Junior Paugh, his three children, all in their fifties, and five grandchildren, ages 18 to 35. Their three-generation journey has taken them from Appalachia to suburbia, from government relief to an assembly line to a management track at Sears. Yet, despite the apparent progress, their expectations are sinking: The grandchildren, all three generations agree, have it worse than their parents and grandparents -- most dramatically in their prospects for retirement, when all gains and losses come home to roost.

Until now, financial planners have likened retirement security to a three-legged stool: employee pensions, personal savings and Social Security.

For the Paugh grandchildren, the savings leg is effectively gone, reflecting a plunging personal savings rate nationally. In place of Junior Paugh's pension, they have 401(k) plans, under which they -- not employers -- bear the risk and responsibility of investing enough for retirement. And under Bush's Social Security proposal, their promised benefit could drop significantly.

This is a new order with new givens. Paugh and his co-workers came of age as Democrats who felt protected by their union, their party and their government. His grandchildren are all registered Republicans who feel largely on their own in a world full of risks and responsibilities, and no guarantees. They are willing to give Bush's Ownership Society a try, saying they have no hope that government or employers can or will protect them.

The president is counting on the Ownership Society to do for the Republican Party what the New Deal did for the Democrats -- that is, make it the nation's majority party. For now, it is easier to measure what has been lost in security than has been gained in opportunity. But the grandchildren's story is only beginning.

WHAT....ME WORRY

Retirement's Unraveling Safety Net
Social Security Is Least of Newer Generations' Worries

By Dale Russakoff
Washington Post Staff Writer
Sunday, May 15, 2005; Page A01

MIDDLE RIVER, Md. -- If it's a clear morning, you can count on seeing 80-year-old Junior K. Paugh strolling streets that tell his life story: Propeller Drive, Fuselage Avenue, Cockpit Street, Compass Road. He's been here more than 60 years, ever since aviation pioneer Glenn L. Martin put him to work making seaplanes and bombers at the defense plant down the road. Franklin D. Roosevelt was president and Martin himself walked the factory floor, urging on workers as the nation went to war.

Out of that perilous time came Paugh's now predictable world. He never is short of money, thanks to Social Security and his company pension that will last as long as he does. Health care costs him next to nothing, thanks to Medicare and retiree health insurance. His Baltimore County home is long paid for, thanks in part to a below-market price of $4,400, a result of wartime subsidies for defense-related housing construction.


Social Security
Retirement's Unraveling Safety Net
GOP Battles Public Displays of Division on Social Security
Bush Refocuses on Domestic Priorities
GOP Battles Public Displays of Division on Social Security
Bush Pitches Plan to Hispanics
More Stories

Free E-mail Newsletters
Daily Politics News & Analysis
See a Sample | Sign Up Now
Federal Insider
See a Sample | Sign Up Now
Breaking News Alerts
See a Sample | Sign Up Now

"I feel completely secure," says Paugh, no small triumph for the third of 13 children born to farmers in Depression-era Appalachia. The triumph is not only his but also the country's -- the fulfillment of a New Deal vision of cradle-to-grave security, underwritten by the federal government and large industrial employers.

That vision is being supplanted by one President Bush calls the Ownership Society, in which the burdens of economic security -- and, the president hopes, the rewards -- shift back to individuals. Social Security is only one aspect of the shift. The safety net big companies wove for Paugh's generation -- long-term employment, pension security, retiree health insurance -- has been giving way for so long that its unraveling is mere background accompaniment to Washington's noisy debate over Social Security. But in the lives of most middle-class families, it stays in the foreground, inseparable from the Social Security discussion.

This becomes clear in the company of Junior Paugh, his three children, all in their fifties, and five grandchildren, ages 18 to 35. Their three-generation journey has taken them from Appalachia to suburbia, from government relief to an assembly line to a management track at Sears. Yet, despite the apparent progress, their expectations are sinking: The grandchildren, all three generations agree, have it worse than their parents and grandparents -- most dramatically in their prospects for retirement, when all gains and losses come home to roost.

Until now, financial planners have likened retirement security to a three-legged stool: employee pensions, personal savings and Social Security.

For the Paugh grandchildren, the savings leg is effectively gone, reflecting a plunging personal savings rate nationally. In place of Junior Paugh's pension, they have 401(k) plans, under which they -- not employers -- bear the risk and responsibility of investing enough for retirement. And under Bush's Social Security proposal, their promised benefit could drop significantly.

This is a new order with new givens. Paugh and his co-workers came of age as Democrats who felt protected by their union, their party and their government. His grandchildren are all registered Republicans who feel largely on their own in a world full of risks and responsibilities, and no guarantees. They are willing to give Bush's Ownership Society a try, saying they have no hope that government or employers can or will protect them.

The president is counting on the Ownership Society to do for the Republican Party what the New Deal did for the Democrats -- that is, make it the nation's majority party. For now, it is easier to measure what has been lost in security than has been gained in opportunity. But the grandchildren's story is only beginning.

even in defeat

What Defeat? Rice Finesses Win-Win at OAS

By Al Kamen

Monday, May 16, 2005; Page A15

So let's see. The United States first backed former Salvadoran president Francisco Flores to be the new secretary general of the Organization of American States. Venezuela's left-wing demagogue Hugo Chavez and Cuban dictator Fidel Castro backed Chilean socialist and former interior minister Jose Miguel Insulza .

The Flores move went nowhere, so Washington then backed Mexican Foreign Minister Luis Ernesto Derbez . The lefties kept pushing Insulza. In a stunning vote last month, the 34-nation OAS met and deadlocked 17 to 17.


The Chileans accused Washington of strong-arming tiny Caribbean countries to switch sides to Derbez (something, of course, the United States would never, ever do). A senior Chilean official growled to a U.S. diplomat that the United States was "making a big mistake." Even though it was only a tie, a Venezuelan exulted, saying that "until now, the United States imposed its candidates."

And there was chatter among the delegates that a couple of votes -- maybe Paraguay and Panama -- were going to switch to Insulza, handing the United States a major diplomatic embarrassment.

Then Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice stepped in, did some nifty diplomacy and worked out a fine deal. If Insulza would take some indirect shots at Chavez and talk up democracy in Cuba, why then the United States would back him. Bingo! A unanimous vote for Insulza.

Now someone might look at this and say it appeared as though all this was pretty much a defeat for U.S. efforts. The folks they supported lost. The guy they opposed won.

Ah, but that would be, as Assistant Secretary of State for Latin America Roger Noriega explained in an April 30 e-mail to State Department officials, absolutely, completely, wrong.

"No matter how hard the NY Times, Chavez, and Castro try to say otherwise, Rice's brokering of a consensus in favor of Jose Miguel Insulza is a victory for the US," Noriega wrote.

The Insulza gambit was nothing short of brilliant. "When I told Paco [Francisco] Flores of our plan," Noriega said, "he said, 'Wow. That's great.' " (Paco apparently is easily impressed.)

So next election, if the candidate you oppose looks as though he might win, work out a way to support him, then declare victory. This is what is called a "win-win."

even in defeat

What Defeat? Rice Finesses Win-Win at OAS

By Al Kamen

Monday, May 16, 2005; Page A15

So let's see. The United States first backed former Salvadoran president Francisco Flores to be the new secretary general of the Organization of American States. Venezuela's left-wing demagogue Hugo Chavez and Cuban dictator Fidel Castro backed Chilean socialist and former interior minister Jose Miguel Insulza .

The Flores move went nowhere, so Washington then backed Mexican Foreign Minister Luis Ernesto Derbez . The lefties kept pushing Insulza. In a stunning vote last month, the 34-nation OAS met and deadlocked 17 to 17.


The Chileans accused Washington of strong-arming tiny Caribbean countries to switch sides to Derbez (something, of course, the United States would never, ever do). A senior Chilean official growled to a U.S. diplomat that the United States was "making a big mistake." Even though it was only a tie, a Venezuelan exulted, saying that "until now, the United States imposed its candidates."

And there was chatter among the delegates that a couple of votes -- maybe Paraguay and Panama -- were going to switch to Insulza, handing the United States a major diplomatic embarrassment.

Then Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice stepped in, did some nifty diplomacy and worked out a fine deal. If Insulza would take some indirect shots at Chavez and talk up democracy in Cuba, why then the United States would back him. Bingo! A unanimous vote for Insulza.

Now someone might look at this and say it appeared as though all this was pretty much a defeat for U.S. efforts. The folks they supported lost. The guy they opposed won.

Ah, but that would be, as Assistant Secretary of State for Latin America Roger Noriega explained in an April 30 e-mail to State Department officials, absolutely, completely, wrong.

"No matter how hard the NY Times, Chavez, and Castro try to say otherwise, Rice's brokering of a consensus in favor of Jose Miguel Insulza is a victory for the US," Noriega wrote.

The Insulza gambit was nothing short of brilliant. "When I told Paco [Francisco] Flores of our plan," Noriega said, "he said, 'Wow. That's great.' " (Paco apparently is easily impressed.)

So next election, if the candidate you oppose looks as though he might win, work out a way to support him, then declare victory. This is what is called a "win-win."

Not my rummy

Report Critical of Rumsfeld Is Pulled After DOD Protest

By Mike Allen
Washington Post Staff Writer
Monday, May 16, 2005; Page A05

A government commission studying overseas military bases sent Congress a report that included criticism of Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld's strategy, then removed the document from the commission Web site after the Pentagon complained that it divulged classified information.

The congressionally appointed panel contends that the 262-page report is based only on public sources, and several commission officials say they believe the Defense Department was annoyed because their conclusions include harsh criticism of some elements of Rumsfeld's plan for streamlining the military.

An official involved in the discussions, who spoke on the condition of anonymity, said the Pentagon's primary complaint appeared to be that the report specified Bulgaria and Romania as countries U.S. forces would rotate through for training, rather than using a more vague regional identification such as Eastern Europe.

The Overseas Basing Commission released a partial version of the report at a news conference on May 9, but now the panel has removed that version from its Web site because of the Pentagon's complaints.

Not my rummy

Report Critical of Rumsfeld Is Pulled After DOD Protest

By Mike Allen
Washington Post Staff Writer
Monday, May 16, 2005; Page A05

A government commission studying overseas military bases sent Congress a report that included criticism of Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld's strategy, then removed the document from the commission Web site after the Pentagon complained that it divulged classified information.

The congressionally appointed panel contends that the 262-page report is based only on public sources, and several commission officials say they believe the Defense Department was annoyed because their conclusions include harsh criticism of some elements of Rumsfeld's plan for streamlining the military.

An official involved in the discussions, who spoke on the condition of anonymity, said the Pentagon's primary complaint appeared to be that the report specified Bulgaria and Romania as countries U.S. forces would rotate through for training, rather than using a more vague regional identification such as Eastern Europe.

The Overseas Basing Commission released a partial version of the report at a news conference on May 9, but now the panel has removed that version from its Web site because of the Pentagon's complaints.

May 14, 2005

judges run amok

Judge reinstates pension of legislator who served time
Says panel waited too long to revoke
By Ralph Ranalli, Globe Staff | May 14, 2005

A former state representative who was convicted of federal conspiracy, bribery, and mail fraud charges in 1996 has had his $21,000-a-year state pension reinstated by a judge, who ruled that the state waited 15 days too long to notify Francis Woodward that the pension was being revoked.

judges run amok

Judge reinstates pension of legislator who served time
Says panel waited too long to revoke
By Ralph Ranalli, Globe Staff | May 14, 2005

A former state representative who was convicted of federal conspiracy, bribery, and mail fraud charges in 1996 has had his $21,000-a-year state pension reinstated by a judge, who ruled that the state waited 15 days too long to notify Francis Woodward that the pension was being revoked.

Jesus Christ almighty

Critic of evangelicals relieved of Air Force post
Academy calls move a 'standard transition'
By T.R. Reid, Washington Post | May 14, 2005

DENVER -- An Air Force chaplain who protested that evangelical Christians were trying to ''subvert the system" by winning converts among cadets at the Air Force Academy was removed from administrative duties last week, just as the Pentagon began an in-depth study of alleged religious intolerance among cadets and commanders at the school.

''They fired me," said Captain MeLinda Morton, a Lutheran minister who was removed as executive officer of the chaplain unit May 4. ''They said I should be angry about these outside groups who reported on the strident evangelicalism at the academy. The problem is, I agreed with those reports."

But Lieutenant Colonel

Jesus Christ almighty

Critic of evangelicals relieved of Air Force post
Academy calls move a 'standard transition'
By T.R. Reid, Washington Post | May 14, 2005

DENVER -- An Air Force chaplain who protested that evangelical Christians were trying to ''subvert the system" by winning converts among cadets at the Air Force Academy was removed from administrative duties last week, just as the Pentagon began an in-depth study of alleged religious intolerance among cadets and commanders at the school.

''They fired me," said Captain MeLinda Morton, a Lutheran minister who was removed as executive officer of the chaplain unit May 4. ''They said I should be angry about these outside groups who reported on the strident evangelicalism at the academy. The problem is, I agreed with those reports."

But Lieutenant Colonel

May 11, 2005

CODE RED !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Ridge reveals clashes on alerts
By Mimi Hall, USA TODAY
WASHINGTON — The Bush administration periodically put the USA on high alert for terrorist attacks even though then-Homeland Security chief Tom Ridge argued there was only flimsy evidence to justify raising the threat level, Ridge now says.
Ridge, who resigned Feb. 1, said Tuesday that he often disagreed with administration officials who wanted to elevate the threat level to orange, or "high" risk of terrorist attack, but was overruled.

His comments at a Washington forum describe spirited debates over terrorist intelligence and provide rare insight into the inner workings of the nation's homeland security apparatus.

Ridge said he wanted to "debunk the myth" that his agency was responsible for repeatedly raising the alert under a color-coded system he unveiled in 2002.


"More often than not we were the least inclined to raise it," Ridge told reporters. "Sometimes we disagreed with the intelligence assessment. Sometimes we thought even if the intelligence was good, you don't necessarily put the country on (alert). ... There were times when some people were really aggressive about raising it, and we said, 'For that?' "

Revising or scrapping the color-coded alert system is under review by new Homeland Security secretary Michael Chertoff. Department spokesman Brian Roehrkasse said "improvements and adjustments" may be announced within the next few months.

The threat level was last raised on a nationwide scale in December 2003, to orange from yellow — or "elevated" risk — where the alert level is now. In most cases, Ridge said Homeland Security officials didn't want to raise the level because they knew local governments and businesses would have to spend money putting temporary security upgrades in place.

"You have to use that tool of communication very sparingly," Ridge said at the forum, which was attended by seven other former department leaders.

The level is raised if a majority on the President's Homeland Security Advisory Council favors it and President Bush concurs. Among those on the council with Ridge were Attorney General John Ashcroft, FBI chief Robert Mueller, CIA director George Tenet, Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld and Secretary of State Colin Powell.

Ridge and Ashcroft publicly clashed over how to communicate threat information to the public. But Ridge has never before discussed internal dissention over the threat level.

CODE RED !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Ridge reveals clashes on alerts
By Mimi Hall, USA TODAY
WASHINGTON — The Bush administration periodically put the USA on high alert for terrorist attacks even though then-Homeland Security chief Tom Ridge argued there was only flimsy evidence to justify raising the threat level, Ridge now says.
Ridge, who resigned Feb. 1, said Tuesday that he often disagreed with administration officials who wanted to elevate the threat level to orange, or "high" risk of terrorist attack, but was overruled.

His comments at a Washington forum describe spirited debates over terrorist intelligence and provide rare insight into the inner workings of the nation's homeland security apparatus.

Ridge said he wanted to "debunk the myth" that his agency was responsible for repeatedly raising the alert under a color-coded system he unveiled in 2002.


"More often than not we were the least inclined to raise it," Ridge told reporters. "Sometimes we disagreed with the intelligence assessment. Sometimes we thought even if the intelligence was good, you don't necessarily put the country on (alert). ... There were times when some people were really aggressive about raising it, and we said, 'For that?' "

Revising or scrapping the color-coded alert system is under review by new Homeland Security secretary Michael Chertoff. Department spokesman Brian Roehrkasse said "improvements and adjustments" may be announced within the next few months.

The threat level was last raised on a nationwide scale in December 2003, to orange from yellow — or "elevated" risk — where the alert level is now. In most cases, Ridge said Homeland Security officials didn't want to raise the level because they knew local governments and businesses would have to spend money putting temporary security upgrades in place.

"You have to use that tool of communication very sparingly," Ridge said at the forum, which was attended by seven other former department leaders.

The level is raised if a majority on the President's Homeland Security Advisory Council favors it and President Bush concurs. Among those on the council with Ridge were Attorney General John Ashcroft, FBI chief Robert Mueller, CIA director George Tenet, Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld and Secretary of State Colin Powell.

Ridge and Ashcroft publicly clashed over how to communicate threat information to the public. But Ridge has never before discussed internal dissention over the threat level.

let the good times roll........Thanks John P.


US real wages fall at fastest rate in 14 years
By Christopher Swann in Washington
Published: May 10 2005 17:59 | Last updated: May 11 2005 15:20

Real wages in the US are falling at their fastest rate in 14 years, according to data surveyed by the Financial Times.


Inflation rose 3.1 per cent in the year to March but salaries climbed just 2.4 per cent, according to the Employment Cost Index. In the final three months of 2004, real wages fell by 0.9 per cent.

The last time salaries fell this steeply was at the start of 1991, when real wages declined by 1.1 per cent.

Stingy pay rises mean many Americans will have to work longer hours to keep up with the cost of living, and they could ultimately undermine consumer spending and economic growth.

Many economists believe that in spite of the unexpectedly large rise in job creation of 274,000 in April, the uneven revival in the labour market since the 2001 recession has made it hard for workers to negotiate real improvements in living standards.

Even after last month's bumper gain in employment, there are 22,000 fewer private sector jobs than when the recession began in March 2001, a 0.02 per cent fall. At the same point in the recovery from the recession of the early 1990s, private sector employment was up 4.7 per cent.

Salaries stagnate as balance of power shifts to employers



A surfeit of workers and the threat of off-shoring are allowing companies to call the shots on wages.

Go there


“There is still little evidence that workers are gaining much traction in their negotiations,” said Paul Ashworth, US analyst at Capital Economics, the consultancy. “If this does not pick up, it raises the prospect of a sharper slowdown in consumer spending than we have been expecting.”

Economists are divided over the best source for measuring pay increases in the US, since the government releases three main measures. A gauge of average hourly earnings is released with the employment report. This rose by 0.3 per cent in both March and April and 0.1 per cent in February. Even with a slight rise in the hours employees are working, from 33.7 to 33.9, this suggests wages are struggling to keep pace with inflation. The gauge covers non-supervisory workers, about 80 per cent of the workforce.

The Bureau of Economic Analysis figures for personal income showed wages rising at close to 6 per cent in 2004 but slowing down since. This measure also showed wages rising by just 0.3 per cent in each of the past 2 months. This is a broader gauge and includes small businesses and professional partnerships, but it measures total corporate wage bill rather than wages per person.

The Employment Cost Index, seen by some as the most reliable measure, excludes overtime and professional partnerships.

let the good times roll........Thanks John P.


US real wages fall at fastest rate in 14 years
By Christopher Swann in Washington
Published: May 10 2005 17:59 | Last updated: May 11 2005 15:20

Real wages in the US are falling at their fastest rate in 14 years, according to data surveyed by the Financial Times.


Inflation rose 3.1 per cent in the year to March but salaries climbed just 2.4 per cent, according to the Employment Cost Index. In the final three months of 2004, real wages fell by 0.9 per cent.

The last time salaries fell this steeply was at the start of 1991, when real wages declined by 1.1 per cent.

Stingy pay rises mean many Americans will have to work longer hours to keep up with the cost of living, and they could ultimately undermine consumer spending and economic growth.

Many economists believe that in spite of the unexpectedly large rise in job creation of 274,000 in April, the uneven revival in the labour market since the 2001 recession has made it hard for workers to negotiate real improvements in living standards.

Even after last month's bumper gain in employment, there are 22,000 fewer private sector jobs than when the recession began in March 2001, a 0.02 per cent fall. At the same point in the recovery from the recession of the early 1990s, private sector employment was up 4.7 per cent.

Salaries stagnate as balance of power shifts to employers



A surfeit of workers and the threat of off-shoring are allowing companies to call the shots on wages.

Go there


“There is still little evidence that workers are gaining much traction in their negotiations,” said Paul Ashworth, US analyst at Capital Economics, the consultancy. “If this does not pick up, it raises the prospect of a sharper slowdown in consumer spending than we have been expecting.”

Economists are divided over the best source for measuring pay increases in the US, since the government releases three main measures. A gauge of average hourly earnings is released with the employment report. This rose by 0.3 per cent in both March and April and 0.1 per cent in February. Even with a slight rise in the hours employees are working, from 33.7 to 33.9, this suggests wages are struggling to keep pace with inflation. The gauge covers non-supervisory workers, about 80 per cent of the workforce.

The Bureau of Economic Analysis figures for personal income showed wages rising at close to 6 per cent in 2004 but slowing down since. This measure also showed wages rising by just 0.3 per cent in each of the past 2 months. This is a broader gauge and includes small businesses and professional partnerships, but it measures total corporate wage bill rather than wages per person.

The Employment Cost Index, seen by some as the most reliable measure, excludes overtime and professional partnerships.

MORE OBITS

Judge lets UAL end pension plans
Employees to see big payment cuts in record default
By Associated Press | May 11, 2005

CHICAGO -- A bankruptcy judge yesterday approved United Airlines' plan to terminate its employees' pension plans, clearing the way for the largest corporate-pension default in US history.

ADVERTISEMENT

The ruling, which carries broad implications for US airlines and their workers, shifts responsibility for United's four ''defined-benefit" plans to the government's pension agency.

That will save cash-strapped United an estimated $645 million a year, part of the $2 billion in annual savings it says it needs to line up enough financing to emerge from Chapter 11 bankruptcy as soon as this fall.

But employees stand to lose thousands of dollars annually off their pensions when they are assumed by the government's Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp.

The PBGC initially opposed United's plan. But it agreed to drop that resistance in exchange for up to $1.5 billion in notes and convertible stock in a reorganized UAL Corp., United's holding company.

United's pensions are underfunded by an estimated $9.8 billion, of which the PBGC would guarantee only about $5 billion. The previous largest US pension default was Bethlehem Steel's $3.6 billion in underfunding in 2002.

Judge Eugene Wedoff said the settlement, while disputed, does not violate any law or United's collective bargaining agreement. He said employees could end up with fewer or even no benefits if no arrangement is made and the company goes broke.

''The least bad of the available choices here has got to be the one that keeps an airline functioning, that keeps employees being paid," Wedoff said.

United's chief financial officer, Jake Brace, said the ruling is crucial for United to come out of bankruptcy. ''It's not a good outcome. It's unfortunately a necessary outcome," he said.

MORE OBITS

Judge lets UAL end pension plans
Employees to see big payment cuts in record default
By Associated Press | May 11, 2005

CHICAGO -- A bankruptcy judge yesterday approved United Airlines' plan to terminate its employees' pension plans, clearing the way for the largest corporate-pension default in US history.

ADVERTISEMENT

The ruling, which carries broad implications for US airlines and their workers, shifts responsibility for United's four ''defined-benefit" plans to the government's pension agency.

That will save cash-strapped United an estimated $645 million a year, part of the $2 billion in annual savings it says it needs to line up enough financing to emerge from Chapter 11 bankruptcy as soon as this fall.

But employees stand to lose thousands of dollars annually off their pensions when they are assumed by the government's Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp.

The PBGC initially opposed United's plan. But it agreed to drop that resistance in exchange for up to $1.5 billion in notes and convertible stock in a reorganized UAL Corp., United's holding company.

United's pensions are underfunded by an estimated $9.8 billion, of which the PBGC would guarantee only about $5 billion. The previous largest US pension default was Bethlehem Steel's $3.6 billion in underfunding in 2002.

Judge Eugene Wedoff said the settlement, while disputed, does not violate any law or United's collective bargaining agreement. He said employees could end up with fewer or even no benefits if no arrangement is made and the company goes broke.

''The least bad of the available choices here has got to be the one that keeps an airline functioning, that keeps employees being paid," Wedoff said.

United's chief financial officer, Jake Brace, said the ruling is crucial for United to come out of bankruptcy. ''It's not a good outcome. It's unfortunately a necessary outcome," he said.

A nowhere man not much longer

Lions show interest in Law
May 11, 2005

Former Patriots cornerback Ty Law spent the day visiting with Detroit Lions coach Steve Mariucci and general manager Matt Millen at their Allen Park, Mich., facility. Law, who broke his left foot in October and had surgery to repair ligament damage in the foot in January, has been running straight ahead while rehabbing and is a few weeks away from cutting.

Law also has received interest from the Miami Dolphins, New York Jets, Pittsburgh Steelers, and Indianapolis Colts. There was no immediate word on the Lions' intentions, but, according to a team source, Law had a very good visit and showed enough physically for Detroit to make a decision.

A nowhere man not much longer

Lions show interest in Law
May 11, 2005

Former Patriots cornerback Ty Law spent the day visiting with Detroit Lions coach Steve Mariucci and general manager Matt Millen at their Allen Park, Mich., facility. Law, who broke his left foot in October and had surgery to repair ligament damage in the foot in January, has been running straight ahead while rehabbing and is a few weeks away from cutting.

Law also has received interest from the Miami Dolphins, New York Jets, Pittsburgh Steelers, and Indianapolis Colts. There was no immediate word on the Lions' intentions, but, according to a team source, Law had a very good visit and showed enough physically for Detroit to make a decision.

This is business as usual

Delta warns of loss, possible Chap. 11 filing
By Associated Press | May 11, 2005

ATLANTA -- Delta Air Lines Inc. shares plunged 10 percent yesterday after the nation's third-largest carrier warned it will record a substantial loss for the rest of the year and will need to file for bankruptcy if its cash reserves fall too low or lenders seek immediate payment.

Delta said in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing that it continues to face significant challenges due to high fuel prices and low ticket fares.

Delta said it is considering more cost cuts and potential asset sales. But ''There can be no assurance that we will be able to implement any of these strategies or that these strategies, if implemented, will be sufficient," Delta warned.

Delta, which reported a nearly $1.1 billion loss in the first quarter, had $1.8 billion in unrestricted cash March 31. But the airline said it expects its cash level will be substantially lower by the end of the year if it can't increase revenue, cut costs, sell assets, or restructure debt.

This is business as usual

Delta warns of loss, possible Chap. 11 filing
By Associated Press | May 11, 2005

ATLANTA -- Delta Air Lines Inc. shares plunged 10 percent yesterday after the nation's third-largest carrier warned it will record a substantial loss for the rest of the year and will need to file for bankruptcy if its cash reserves fall too low or lenders seek immediate payment.

Delta said in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing that it continues to face significant challenges due to high fuel prices and low ticket fares.

Delta said it is considering more cost cuts and potential asset sales. But ''There can be no assurance that we will be able to implement any of these strategies or that these strategies, if implemented, will be sufficient," Delta warned.

Delta, which reported a nearly $1.1 billion loss in the first quarter, had $1.8 billion in unrestricted cash March 31. But the airline said it expects its cash level will be substantially lower by the end of the year if it can't increase revenue, cut costs, sell assets, or restructure debt.

Business or news I'm not sure


$82b in war spending is OK'd
Bill to fund Iraq, Afghanistan also alters rules in US
By Liz Sidoti, Associated Press | May 11, 2005

WASHINGTON -- Congress approved an additional $82 billion yesterday for Iraq and Afghanistan and for combating terrorism worldwide, boosting the cost of the global effort since 2001 to more than $300 billion.

The Senate approved the measure by a 100-0 vote yesterday. The House easily approved the measure last week. It now goes to President Bush for his signature, which is certain.

The fifth such emergency spending package Congress has taken up since the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, the bill includes sweeping immigration changes, a nearly tenfold increase in the onetime payment for families of troops killed in combat, and money to build a sprawling US embassy in Iraq.

Most of the money, $75.9 billion, is slated for military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, while $4.2 billion goes to foreign aid and other international relations programs.

The president sent Congress his spending proposal in February and the final bill -- a compromise between versions passed by the House and Senate -- looks largely like what he requested even though both legislative chambers, controlled by Republicans, had promised to fund only items that lawmakers deemed urgent.

Senator Thad Cochran, a Mississippi Republican and chairman of the Senate Appropriations Committee, called the final bill ''a genuine compromise between the two bodies on legislation that is of utmost importance to our troops who are deployed in the war on terror and for our allies around the world." Senator Bill Frist of Tennessee, the majority leader, said the bill was ''absolutely critical to winning the war on terror."

Democrats used the opportunity to criticize the Bush administration for its Iraq policies and for skirting the normal budget process to pay for the wars. Many also assailed Republicans for tacking on immigration provisions.

The measure requires states to start issuing more-uniform driver's licenses and start verifying the citizenship or legal status of license applicants. It also toughens asylum laws, authorizes the completion of a fence across the California-Mexico border, and provides money to hire more border security agents.

The House had included most of the provisions in its version of the bill. The Senate did not, but agreed during negotiations to go along with the House.

Senator Harry Reid of Nevada, the minority leader, said the bill comes up short in at least two areas. ''We should have received much greater attention in this bill about our ability to succeed in Iraq," Reid said. And, he said, immigration rule changes should have been dealt with later.

Senator Robert Byrd of West Virginia, the lead Democrat on the Senate Appropriations Committee, said the immigration provisions ''were formulated behind closed doors by the House and Senate Republican leadership."

Overall, the measure reflects a desire by lawmakers to give the Pentagon what it needs while holding the line on State Department spending. Lawmakers provided roughly $1 billion more than the president had sought for defense and about $1.5 billion less than he wanted for international relations programs.

The legislation provides money for combat costs, including ammunition, armor for vehicles, weapons systems, and other equipment. The Army gets much of the defense money because that service is bearing the brunt of the fighting.

The bill also boosts the death benefit for survivors of troops killed in combat zones -- from $12,000 to $100,000. The increase would apply retroactively to families of troops killed in Iraq and Afghanistan beginning on Oct. 7, 2001.

On the foreign affairs side, the measure provides $592 million for a secure diplomatic compound in Baghdad, $230 million for US allies in the war on terror, and $200 million in economic and infrastructure assistance to the Palestinian Authority. The bill also provides $907 million for expenses and aid related to the December tsunami in Southeast Asia.

Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld had pressured lawmakers to pass the bill quickly, saying the Pentagon would run out of money for wars if it didn't get the money by last week. But the Pentagon diverted roughly $1 billion in funds from other accounts to pay for the war in anticipation of congressional delays.

Business or news I'm not sure


$82b in war spending is OK'd
Bill to fund Iraq, Afghanistan also alters rules in US
By Liz Sidoti, Associated Press | May 11, 2005

WASHINGTON -- Congress approved an additional $82 billion yesterday for Iraq and Afghanistan and for combating terrorism worldwide, boosting the cost of the global effort since 2001 to more than $300 billion.

The Senate approved the measure by a 100-0 vote yesterday. The House easily approved the measure last week. It now goes to President Bush for his signature, which is certain.

The fifth such emergency spending package Congress has taken up since the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, the bill includes sweeping immigration changes, a nearly tenfold increase in the onetime payment for families of troops killed in combat, and money to build a sprawling US embassy in Iraq.

Most of the money, $75.9 billion, is slated for military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, while $4.2 billion goes to foreign aid and other international relations programs.

The president sent Congress his spending proposal in February and the final bill -- a compromise between versions passed by the House and Senate -- looks largely like what he requested even though both legislative chambers, controlled by Republicans, had promised to fund only items that lawmakers deemed urgent.

Senator Thad Cochran, a Mississippi Republican and chairman of the Senate Appropriations Committee, called the final bill ''a genuine compromise between the two bodies on legislation that is of utmost importance to our troops who are deployed in the war on terror and for our allies around the world." Senator Bill Frist of Tennessee, the majority leader, said the bill was ''absolutely critical to winning the war on terror."

Democrats used the opportunity to criticize the Bush administration for its Iraq policies and for skirting the normal budget process to pay for the wars. Many also assailed Republicans for tacking on immigration provisions.

The measure requires states to start issuing more-uniform driver's licenses and start verifying the citizenship or legal status of license applicants. It also toughens asylum laws, authorizes the completion of a fence across the California-Mexico border, and provides money to hire more border security agents.

The House had included most of the provisions in its version of the bill. The Senate did not, but agreed during negotiations to go along with the House.

Senator Harry Reid of Nevada, the minority leader, said the bill comes up short in at least two areas. ''We should have received much greater attention in this bill about our ability to succeed in Iraq," Reid said. And, he said, immigration rule changes should have been dealt with later.

Senator Robert Byrd of West Virginia, the lead Democrat on the Senate Appropriations Committee, said the immigration provisions ''were formulated behind closed doors by the House and Senate Republican leadership."

Overall, the measure reflects a desire by lawmakers to give the Pentagon what it needs while holding the line on State Department spending. Lawmakers provided roughly $1 billion more than the president had sought for defense and about $1.5 billion less than he wanted for international relations programs.

The legislation provides money for combat costs, including ammunition, armor for vehicles, weapons systems, and other equipment. The Army gets much of the defense money because that service is bearing the brunt of the fighting.

The bill also boosts the death benefit for survivors of troops killed in combat zones -- from $12,000 to $100,000. The increase would apply retroactively to families of troops killed in Iraq and Afghanistan beginning on Oct. 7, 2001.

On the foreign affairs side, the measure provides $592 million for a secure diplomatic compound in Baghdad, $230 million for US allies in the war on terror, and $200 million in economic and infrastructure assistance to the Palestinian Authority. The bill also provides $907 million for expenses and aid related to the December tsunami in Southeast Asia.

Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld had pressured lawmakers to pass the bill quickly, saying the Pentagon would run out of money for wars if it didn't get the money by last week. But the Pentagon diverted roughly $1 billion in funds from other accounts to pay for the war in anticipation of congressional delays.

May 10, 2005

Mo Money..Thanks JohnP.

U.S. pays for care of illegal aliens
Treatment money for border states

By ROBERT PEAR
THE NEW YORK TIMES

WASHINGTON -- The Bush administration said yesterday that it would start paying hospitals and doctors for providing emergency care to illegal immigrants.

The money, totaling $1 billion, will be available for services provided from today through September 2008. Congress provided the money as part of the 2003 law that expanded Medicare to cover prescription drugs, but the new payments have nothing to do with the Medicare program.

Members of Congress from border states had sought the money. They said treatment of illegal immigrants imposed a huge financial burden on many hospitals, which are required to provide emergency care to patients who need it, regardless of their immigration status or ability to pay.

Under the new program, hospitals are supposed to ask patients for documents to substantiate payment claims. But Dr. Mark McClellan, administrator of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, said a hospital should not directly ask a patient "if he or she is an undocumented alien."

Instead, he said, hospitals can try to establish a patient's status by analyzing the answers to "indirect questions": Is the person eligible for Medicaid? (If so, payment is generally not available under the new program.) Has the person reported a foreign place of birth? Does the person have a border-crossing card like those issued to Mexican citizens? Does the person have a foreign passport, a foreign driver's license or a foreign identification card?

The Bush administration abandoned a proposal that would have required many hospitals to ask patients if they were U.S. citizens or legal immigrants.

"In no circumstances are hospitals required to ask people about their citizenship status," McClellan said yesterday.

Hospital executives and immigrant rights groups had said such questions would deter illegal immigrants from seeking care and could lead to serious public health problems by increasing the spread of communicable diseases.

Cecilia Munoz, a vice president of the National Council of La Raza, a Latino civil rights group, said the new requirements were an improvement over the original proposal but would still discourage some immigrants from seeking treatment.

"Hospitals will have to ask confusing, highly technical questions about immigration documents," Munoz said. "That will create a perception in the Latino community that you have to show your papers in order to get emergency care. That's a misperception, but it may be enough to deter some people from seeking care."

The new program is run by the Department of Health and Human Services. McClellan said the department would not provide information about illegal immigrants to law enforcement officials for use in "routine civil immigration proceedings." But in rare cases, he said, the information may be used in criminal investigations.

The largest allocations this fiscal year are going to California, which will receive $70.8 million; Texas, $46 million; Arizona, $45 million; New York, $12.3 million; Illinois, $10.3 million; Florida, $8.7 million; and New Mexico, $5.1 million.

Mo Money..Thanks JohnP.

U.S. pays for care of illegal aliens
Treatment money for border states

By ROBERT PEAR
THE NEW YORK TIMES

WASHINGTON -- The Bush administration said yesterday that it would start paying hospitals and doctors for providing emergency care to illegal immigrants.

The money, totaling $1 billion, will be available for services provided from today through September 2008. Congress provided the money as part of the 2003 law that expanded Medicare to cover prescription drugs, but the new payments have nothing to do with the Medicare program.

Members of Congress from border states had sought the money. They said treatment of illegal immigrants imposed a huge financial burden on many hospitals, which are required to provide emergency care to patients who need it, regardless of their immigration status or ability to pay.

Under the new program, hospitals are supposed to ask patients for documents to substantiate payment claims. But Dr. Mark McClellan, administrator of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, said a hospital should not directly ask a patient "if he or she is an undocumented alien."

Instead, he said, hospitals can try to establish a patient's status by analyzing the answers to "indirect questions": Is the person eligible for Medicaid? (If so, payment is generally not available under the new program.) Has the person reported a foreign place of birth? Does the person have a border-crossing card like those issued to Mexican citizens? Does the person have a foreign passport, a foreign driver's license or a foreign identification card?

The Bush administration abandoned a proposal that would have required many hospitals to ask patients if they were U.S. citizens or legal immigrants.

"In no circumstances are hospitals required to ask people about their citizenship status," McClellan said yesterday.

Hospital executives and immigrant rights groups had said such questions would deter illegal immigrants from seeking care and could lead to serious public health problems by increasing the spread of communicable diseases.

Cecilia Munoz, a vice president of the National Council of La Raza, a Latino civil rights group, said the new requirements were an improvement over the original proposal but would still discourage some immigrants from seeking treatment.

"Hospitals will have to ask confusing, highly technical questions about immigration documents," Munoz said. "That will create a perception in the Latino community that you have to show your papers in order to get emergency care. That's a misperception, but it may be enough to deter some people from seeking care."

The new program is run by the Department of Health and Human Services. McClellan said the department would not provide information about illegal immigrants to law enforcement officials for use in "routine civil immigration proceedings." But in rare cases, he said, the information may be used in criminal investigations.

The largest allocations this fiscal year are going to California, which will receive $70.8 million; Texas, $46 million; Arizona, $45 million; New York, $12.3 million; Illinois, $10.3 million; Florida, $8.7 million; and New Mexico, $5.1 million.

it's only money............right..............thanks John P.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INVASION USA
Feds pay $5.8 billion to jail criminal aliens
Government study over past 3 years reveals burden borne by taxpayers

© 2005 WorldNetDaily.com

The U.S. federal government spent $5.8 billion over the past three years to incarcerate criminal aliens – nonresidents who are in the country illegally or legally and convicted of a crime.

The report by the General Accounting Office – the investigative arm of Congress – shows the number of criminal aliens in federal prisons increased from about 42,000 at the end of 2001 to about 49,000 at the end of last year.

it's only money............right..............thanks John P.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INVASION USA
Feds pay $5.8 billion to jail criminal aliens
Government study over past 3 years reveals burden borne by taxpayers

© 2005 WorldNetDaily.com

The U.S. federal government spent $5.8 billion over the past three years to incarcerate criminal aliens – nonresidents who are in the country illegally or legally and convicted of a crime.

The report by the General Accounting Office – the investigative arm of Congress – shows the number of criminal aliens in federal prisons increased from about 42,000 at the end of 2001 to about 49,000 at the end of last year.

May 06, 2005

will we follow.......Thanks John P.

Britain Considers Denying Healthcare Based on Age

A British ministry is proposing to deny medical treatment to patients based on age – a move seen as the "ultimate end” for universal health care.

A spokesperson for The National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence said that "if there is a justifiable clinical reason to not provide a treatment for certain age groups, not just older people, that will be O.K., if this treatment would not work or could not be offered.

"We have said there has to be clinical evidence when discriminating on grounds of age.”

Critics have raised concern that the policy could lead to the elderly being denied some services.

What’s happening in Britain – the rationing of medical care – and "what will happen here if the health care busybodies are able to force us into some sort of single- or third-party payer or nationalized system, is a convergence of demand crashing into finite supply,” reports Investor’s Business Daily.

will we follow.......Thanks John P.

Britain Considers Denying Healthcare Based on Age

A British ministry is proposing to deny medical treatment to patients based on age – a move seen as the "ultimate end” for universal health care.

A spokesperson for The National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence said that "if there is a justifiable clinical reason to not provide a treatment for certain age groups, not just older people, that will be O.K., if this treatment would not work or could not be offered.

"We have said there has to be clinical evidence when discriminating on grounds of age.”

Critics have raised concern that the policy could lead to the elderly being denied some services.

What’s happening in Britain – the rationing of medical care – and "what will happen here if the health care busybodies are able to force us into some sort of single- or third-party payer or nationalized system, is a convergence of demand crashing into finite supply,” reports Investor’s Business Daily.

NO CHILD LEFT BEHIND??????????????

By JOHN SOLOMON
Associated Press Writer

May 5, 2005, 12:00 PM EDT

WASHINGTON -- To gain access to hundreds of HIV-infected foster children, federally funded researchers promised in writing to provide an independent advocate to safeguard the kids' well-being as they tested potent AIDS drugs. But most of the time, that special protection never materialized, an Associated Press review has found.

The research funded by the National Institutes of Health spanned the country. It was most widespread in the 1990s as foster care agencies sought treatments for their HIV-infected children that weren't yet available in the marketplace.

The practice ensured that foster children -- mostly poor or minority -- received care from world-class researchers at government expense, slowing their rate of death and extending their lives. But it also exposed a vulnerable population to the risks of medical research and drugs that were known to have serious side effects in adults and for which the safety for children was unknown.

The research was conducted in at least seven states -- Illinois, Louisiana, Maryland, New York, North Carolina, Colorado and Texas -- and involved more than four dozen different studies. The foster children ranged from infants to late teens, according to interviews and government records.

Several studies that enlisted foster children reported that patients suffered side effects such as rashes, vomiting and sharp drops in infection-fighting blood cells, and one reported a "disturbing" higher death rate among children who took higher doses of a drug, records show.

The government provided special protections for child wards in 1983. They required researchers and their oversight boards to appoint independent advocates for any foster child enrolled in a narrow class of studies that involved greater than minimal risk and lacked the promise of direct benefit.

Some foster agencies, including those in Illinois and New York, required researchers to sign a document agreeing to provide the protection regardless of risks and benefits.

However, researchers and foster agencies told AP that foster children in AIDS drug trials often weren't given such advocates even though research institutions many times promised in writing to do so.

Illinois officials believe none of their nearly 200 foster children in AIDS studies got independent monitors. New York City could find records showing 142 -- less than a third -- of the 465 foster children in AIDS drug trials got such monitors even though city policy required them. The city has asked an outside firm to investigate.

Likewise, research facilities including Chicago's Children's Memorial Hospital and Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore said they concluded they didn't provide advocates for foster kids.

Some foster children died during studies, but state or city agencies said they could find no records that any deaths were directly caused by experimental treatments.

Researchers typically secured permission to enroll foster children through city or state agencies. And they frequently exempted themselves from appointing advocates by concluding the research carried minimal risk and the child would benefit directly because the drugs already had been tried in adults.

"Our position is that advocates weren't needed," said Marilyn Castaldi, spokeswoman for Columbia Presbyterian Medical Center in New York.

If they decline to appoint advocates under the federal law, researchers and their oversight boards must conclude that the experimental treatment affords the same or better risk-benefit possibilities than alternate treatments already in the marketplace. They also must abide by any additional protections required by state and local authorities.

Arthur Caplan, head of medical ethics at the University of Pennsylvania, said advocates should have been appointed for all foster children because researchers felt the pressure of a medical crisis and knew there was great uncertainty as to how children would react to AIDS medications that were often toxic for adults.

"It is exactly that set of circumstances that made it absolutely mandatory to get those kids those advocates," Caplan said. "It is inexcusable that they wouldn't have an advocate for each one of those children.

"When you have the most vulnerable subjects imaginable -- kids without parents -- you really do have to come in with someone independent, who doesn't have a dog in this fight," he said.

Those who made the decisions say the research gave foster kids access to drugs they otherwise couldn't get. And they say they protected the children's interest by carefully explaining risks and benefits to state guardians, foster parents and the children themselves.

"I understand the ethical dilemma surrounding the introduction of foster children into trials," said Dr. Mark Kline, a pediatric AIDS expert at Baylor College of Medicine. He enrolled some Texas foster kids in his studies, and doesn't recall appointing advocates for them.

"To say as a group that foster children should be excluded from clinical trials would have meant excluding these children from the best available therapies at the time," he said. "From an ethical perspective, I never thought that was a stand I could take."

Illinois officials directly credit the decision to enroll HIV-positive foster kids with bringing about a decline in deaths -- from 40 between 1989 and 1995 to only 19 since.

Some states declined to participate in medical experiments. Tennessee said its foster care rules generally prohibit enlisting children in such trials. California requires a judge's order. And Wisconsin "has absolutely never allowed, nor would we even consider, any clinical experiments with the children in our foster care system," spokeswoman Stephanie Marquis said.

Officials estimated that 5 percent to 10 percent of the 13,878 children enrolled in pediatric AIDS studies funded by NIH since the late 1980s were in foster care. More than two dozen Illinois foster children remain in studies today.

NIH, the government health research agency that funded the studies, did not track researchers to determine whether they appointed advocates. Instead, the decision was left to medical review boards made up of volunteers at each study site.

A recent Institute of Medicine study concluded those Institutional Review Boards (IRBs) were often overwhelmed, dominated by scientists and not focused enough on patient protections.

The U.S. Office for Human Research Protections, created to protect research participants after the notorious Tuskegee syphilis studies on black men in the 1930s, is investigating the use of foster children in AIDS research. The office declined to discuss the probe.

AP's review found that if children were old enough -- usually between 5 and 10 -- they also were educated about the risks and asked to consent. Sometimes, foster parents or biological parents were consulted; other times not.

Research and foster agencies declined to make foster parents or children in the drug trials available for interviews, or to provide information about individual drug dosages, side effects or deaths, citing medical privacy laws.

Other families who participated in the same drug trials told AP their children mostly benefited but parents needed to carefully monitor potential side effects. Foster children, they said, need the added protection of an independent advocate.

"If they did not fulfill that requirement, how can you be sure the community participant really got the benefit and the informed consent that is needed," said Michelle Lopez, a New Jersey woman whose daughter has participated in drug trials.

"I was very concerned about that because the argument we are getting is the kids are getting better and we are enhancing their lives, but none of these drugs save these kids lives," she said.

Many studies that enlisted foster children involved early Phase I and Phase II research -- the riskiest -- to determine side effects and safe dosages so children could begin taking adult "cocktails," the powerful drug combinations that suppress AIDS but can cause bad reactions like rashes and organ damage.

Some of those drugs were approved ultimately for children, such as stavudine and zidovudine. Other medicines were not.

Illinois officials confirmed two or three foster children were approved to participate in a mid-1990s study of dapsone. Researchers hoped the drug would prevent a pneumonia that afflicts AIDS patients.

Researchers reported some children had to be taken off the drug because of "serious toxicity," others developed rashes, and the rates of death and blood toxicity were significantly higher in children who took the medicine daily, rather than weekly.

At least 10 children died from a variety of causes, including four from blood poisoning, and researchers said they were unable to determine a safe, useful dosage. They said the deaths didn't appear to be "directly attributable" to dapsone but nonetheless were "disturbing."

"An unexpected finding in our study was that overall mortality while receiving the study drug was significantly higher in the daily dapsone group. This finding remains unexplained," the researchers concluded.

Another study involving foster children in the 1990s treated children with different combinations of adult antiretroviral drugs. Among 52 children, there were 26 moderate to severe reactions -- nearly all in infants. The side effects included rash, fever and a major drop in infection-fighting white blood cells.

New York City officials defend the decision to enlist foster children en masse, saying there was a crisis in the early 1990s and research provided the best treatment possibilities. Nonetheless, they are changing their policy so they no longer give blanket permission to enroll children in preapproved studies.

"We learned some things from our experience," said Elizabeth Roberts, assistant commissioner for child and family health at the Administration for Children's Services. "It is a more individualized review we will be conducting."

NO CHILD LEFT BEHIND??????????????

By JOHN SOLOMON
Associated Press Writer

May 5, 2005, 12:00 PM EDT

WASHINGTON -- To gain access to hundreds of HIV-infected foster children, federally funded researchers promised in writing to provide an independent advocate to safeguard the kids' well-being as they tested potent AIDS drugs. But most of the time, that special protection never materialized, an Associated Press review has found.

The research funded by the National Institutes of Health spanned the country. It was most widespread in the 1990s as foster care agencies sought treatments for their HIV-infected children that weren't yet available in the marketplace.

The practice ensured that foster children -- mostly poor or minority -- received care from world-class researchers at government expense, slowing their rate of death and extending their lives. But it also exposed a vulnerable population to the risks of medical research and drugs that were known to have serious side effects in adults and for which the safety for children was unknown.

The research was conducted in at least seven states -- Illinois, Louisiana, Maryland, New York, North Carolina, Colorado and Texas -- and involved more than four dozen different studies. The foster children ranged from infants to late teens, according to interviews and government records.

Several studies that enlisted foster children reported that patients suffered side effects such as rashes, vomiting and sharp drops in infection-fighting blood cells, and one reported a "disturbing" higher death rate among children who took higher doses of a drug, records show.

The government provided special protections for child wards in 1983. They required researchers and their oversight boards to appoint independent advocates for any foster child enrolled in a narrow class of studies that involved greater than minimal risk and lacked the promise of direct benefit.

Some foster agencies, including those in Illinois and New York, required researchers to sign a document agreeing to provide the protection regardless of risks and benefits.

However, researchers and foster agencies told AP that foster children in AIDS drug trials often weren't given such advocates even though research institutions many times promised in writing to do so.

Illinois officials believe none of their nearly 200 foster children in AIDS studies got independent monitors. New York City could find records showing 142 -- less than a third -- of the 465 foster children in AIDS drug trials got such monitors even though city policy required them. The city has asked an outside firm to investigate.

Likewise, research facilities including Chicago's Children's Memorial Hospital and Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore said they concluded they didn't provide advocates for foster kids.

Some foster children died during studies, but state or city agencies said they could find no records that any deaths were directly caused by experimental treatments.

Researchers typically secured permission to enroll foster children through city or state agencies. And they frequently exempted themselves from appointing advocates by concluding the research carried minimal risk and the child would benefit directly because the drugs already had been tried in adults.

"Our position is that advocates weren't needed," said Marilyn Castaldi, spokeswoman for Columbia Presbyterian Medical Center in New York.

If they decline to appoint advocates under the federal law, researchers and their oversight boards must conclude that the experimental treatment affords the same or better risk-benefit possibilities than alternate treatments already in the marketplace. They also must abide by any additional protections required by state and local authorities.

Arthur Caplan, head of medical ethics at the University of Pennsylvania, said advocates should have been appointed for all foster children because researchers felt the pressure of a medical crisis and knew there was great uncertainty as to how children would react to AIDS medications that were often toxic for adults.

"It is exactly that set of circumstances that made it absolutely mandatory to get those kids those advocates," Caplan said. "It is inexcusable that they wouldn't have an advocate for each one of those children.

"When you have the most vulnerable subjects imaginable -- kids without parents -- you really do have to come in with someone independent, who doesn't have a dog in this fight," he said.

Those who made the decisions say the research gave foster kids access to drugs they otherwise couldn't get. And they say they protected the children's interest by carefully explaining risks and benefits to state guardians, foster parents and the children themselves.

"I understand the ethical dilemma surrounding the introduction of foster children into trials," said Dr. Mark Kline, a pediatric AIDS expert at Baylor College of Medicine. He enrolled some Texas foster kids in his studies, and doesn't recall appointing advocates for them.

"To say as a group that foster children should be excluded from clinical trials would have meant excluding these children from the best available therapies at the time," he said. "From an ethical perspective, I never thought that was a stand I could take."

Illinois officials directly credit the decision to enroll HIV-positive foster kids with bringing about a decline in deaths -- from 40 between 1989 and 1995 to only 19 since.

Some states declined to participate in medical experiments. Tennessee said its foster care rules generally prohibit enlisting children in such trials. California requires a judge's order. And Wisconsin "has absolutely never allowed, nor would we even consider, any clinical experiments with the children in our foster care system," spokeswoman Stephanie Marquis said.

Officials estimated that 5 percent to 10 percent of the 13,878 children enrolled in pediatric AIDS studies funded by NIH since the late 1980s were in foster care. More than two dozen Illinois foster children remain in studies today.

NIH, the government health research agency that funded the studies, did not track researchers to determine whether they appointed advocates. Instead, the decision was left to medical review boards made up of volunteers at each study site.

A recent Institute of Medicine study concluded those Institutional Review Boards (IRBs) were often overwhelmed, dominated by scientists and not focused enough on patient protections.

The U.S. Office for Human Research Protections, created to protect research participants after the notorious Tuskegee syphilis studies on black men in the 1930s, is investigating the use of foster children in AIDS research. The office declined to discuss the probe.

AP's review found that if children were old enough -- usually between 5 and 10 -- they also were educated about the risks and asked to consent. Sometimes, foster parents or biological parents were consulted; other times not.

Research and foster agencies declined to make foster parents or children in the drug trials available for interviews, or to provide information about individual drug dosages, side effects or deaths, citing medical privacy laws.

Other families who participated in the same drug trials told AP their children mostly benefited but parents needed to carefully monitor potential side effects. Foster children, they said, need the added protection of an independent advocate.

"If they did not fulfill that requirement, how can you be sure the community participant really got the benefit and the informed consent that is needed," said Michelle Lopez, a New Jersey woman whose daughter has participated in drug trials.

"I was very concerned about that because the argument we are getting is the kids are getting better and we are enhancing their lives, but none of these drugs save these kids lives," she said.

Many studies that enlisted foster children involved early Phase I and Phase II research -- the riskiest -- to determine side effects and safe dosages so children could begin taking adult "cocktails," the powerful drug combinations that suppress AIDS but can cause bad reactions like rashes and organ damage.

Some of those drugs were approved ultimately for children, such as stavudine and zidovudine. Other medicines were not.

Illinois officials confirmed two or three foster children were approved to participate in a mid-1990s study of dapsone. Researchers hoped the drug would prevent a pneumonia that afflicts AIDS patients.

Researchers reported some children had to be taken off the drug because of "serious toxicity," others developed rashes, and the rates of death and blood toxicity were significantly higher in children who took the medicine daily, rather than weekly.

At least 10 children died from a variety of causes, including four from blood poisoning, and researchers said they were unable to determine a safe, useful dosage. They said the deaths didn't appear to be "directly attributable" to dapsone but nonetheless were "disturbing."

"An unexpected finding in our study was that overall mortality while receiving the study drug was significantly higher in the daily dapsone group. This finding remains unexplained," the researchers concluded.

Another study involving foster children in the 1990s treated children with different combinations of adult antiretroviral drugs. Among 52 children, there were 26 moderate to severe reactions -- nearly all in infants. The side effects included rash, fever and a major drop in infection-fighting white blood cells.

New York City officials defend the decision to enlist foster children en masse, saying there was a crisis in the early 1990s and research provided the best treatment possibilities. Nonetheless, they are changing their policy so they no longer give blanket permission to enroll children in preapproved studies.

"We learned some things from our experience," said Elizabeth Roberts, assistant commissioner for child and family health at the Administration for Children's Services. "It is a more individualized review we will be conducting."

May 05, 2005

IN THE COOKIE JAR

GM allowed to take up to $6B out of fund
By Sharon Silke Carty, USA TODAY
DETROIT — General Motors' (GM) soaring health care costs have created a tempting pool of money the automaker is considering dipping into.
The hitch: That money is squirreled away in a fund designed to ensure that retirees will have their health care paid for by the automaker. (Related: GM takes $1.1B hit in first quarter)

While discussing first-quarter results Tuesday, GM Chief Financial Officer John Devine said the company is considering tapping into the $20 billion Voluntary Employee's Beneficiary Association fund. The company is entitled to draw out cash equal to what it spent last year on health care and what it has spent so far this year.

That means GM could take $6 billion from the fund, Devine said, because its health care costs have been rising. For the first quarter alone, the company could account for $700 million in health care expenses. Once it takes money out of the fund, it is not required to replace it. And the money could be used for general business expenses, Devine said.

"It is a source of liquidity if we need it," he said. "We can extract it pretty aggressively, if we have to."

Health care costs are a concern for the automaker. It expects to spend $5.6 billion on health care for active and retired workers and their families this year, compared with $5.2 billion last year. That adds more than $1,000 to the price of each vehicle it produces, the company has said.

IN THE COOKIE JAR

GM allowed to take up to $6B out of fund
By Sharon Silke Carty, USA TODAY
DETROIT — General Motors' (GM) soaring health care costs have created a tempting pool of money the automaker is considering dipping into.
The hitch: That money is squirreled away in a fund designed to ensure that retirees will have their health care paid for by the automaker. (Related: GM takes $1.1B hit in first quarter)

While discussing first-quarter results Tuesday, GM Chief Financial Officer John Devine said the company is considering tapping into the $20 billion Voluntary Employee's Beneficiary Association fund. The company is entitled to draw out cash equal to what it spent last year on health care and what it has spent so far this year.

That means GM could take $6 billion from the fund, Devine said, because its health care costs have been rising. For the first quarter alone, the company could account for $700 million in health care expenses. Once it takes money out of the fund, it is not required to replace it. And the money could be used for general business expenses, Devine said.

"It is a source of liquidity if we need it," he said. "We can extract it pretty aggressively, if we have to."

Health care costs are a concern for the automaker. It expects to spend $5.6 billion on health care for active and retired workers and their families this year, compared with $5.2 billion last year. That adds more than $1,000 to the price of each vehicle it produces, the company has said.

dropping like a stone

S&P cuts GM, Ford debt ratings to 'junk' status
NEW YORK (Reuters) — Standard & Poor's cut Ford Motor's (F) and General Motors' (GM) debt ratings to junk status Thursday in a move that will narrow the automakers' avenues for raising money as they struggle with global competition and rising healthcare costs.
Shares of both companies fell 5% or more after Thursday's downgrades, and the news sent the overall market lower.

The cuts almost surely will cause both companies' borrowing costs to rise as they have to offer higher yields to attract investors. The downgrades include the credit financing arms of both automakers.

The decision by one of the nation's most respected ratings agencies comes as the two iconic American automakers are losing market share at home to Asian automakers, seeing sales soften for their most profitable models and are facing enormous health care and post-retirement liabilities.

S&P said its downgrade of GM to non-investment-grade status reflects its conclusion that management's current strategies may not be effective in dealing with the automaker's competitive disadvantages, which include rising health care costs and billions of dollars in post-retirement liabilities. But it said the company should have no trouble meeting its cash requirements in the near term.

dropping like a stone

S&P cuts GM, Ford debt ratings to 'junk' status
NEW YORK (Reuters) — Standard & Poor's cut Ford Motor's (F) and General Motors' (GM) debt ratings to junk status Thursday in a move that will narrow the automakers' avenues for raising money as they struggle with global competition and rising healthcare costs.
Shares of both companies fell 5% or more after Thursday's downgrades, and the news sent the overall market lower.

The cuts almost surely will cause both companies' borrowing costs to rise as they have to offer higher yields to attract investors. The downgrades include the credit financing arms of both automakers.

The decision by one of the nation's most respected ratings agencies comes as the two iconic American automakers are losing market share at home to Asian automakers, seeing sales soften for their most profitable models and are facing enormous health care and post-retirement liabilities.

S&P said its downgrade of GM to non-investment-grade status reflects its conclusion that management's current strategies may not be effective in dealing with the automaker's competitive disadvantages, which include rising health care costs and billions of dollars in post-retirement liabilities. But it said the company should have no trouble meeting its cash requirements in the near term.

May 03, 2005

another revision

Factory orders post unexpected rise in March
WASHINGTON (Reuters) — The Commerce Department Tuesday said new orders at U.S. factories advanced a modest 0.1% in March versus Wall Street forecasts for a 1.2% drop and a revised 0.5% decline in February.
Orders were helped by a solid rebound in demand for nondurable goods and an upward revision in the durable goods orders for March. The data was slightly more optimistic than the recent spate of weaker indications on U.S. economic growth, which has slowed amid soaring oil prices.

The small gain pushed total factory orders to $378.2 billion in March / The Commerce Department said it was the biggest rise since December and compared with a revised 0.5% decline in factory orders in February. That had initially been reported as a 0.2% gain.

Economists had expected orders to fall 1.2% following weaker readouts from purchasing manager surveys amid soaring oil prices, which have dented household budgets and expectations for future income.

Analysts believe the current "soft patch," the term Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan used to describe a similar slowdown last year, will be only temporary. But they caution that something unexpected such as further sharp increases in energy prices could make that forecast too optimistic.

another revision

Factory orders post unexpected rise in March
WASHINGTON (Reuters) — The Commerce Department Tuesday said new orders at U.S. factories advanced a modest 0.1% in March versus Wall Street forecasts for a 1.2% drop and a revised 0.5% decline in February.
Orders were helped by a solid rebound in demand for nondurable goods and an upward revision in the durable goods orders for March. The data was slightly more optimistic than the recent spate of weaker indications on U.S. economic growth, which has slowed amid soaring oil prices.

The small gain pushed total factory orders to $378.2 billion in March / The Commerce Department said it was the biggest rise since December and compared with a revised 0.5% decline in factory orders in February. That had initially been reported as a 0.2% gain.

Economists had expected orders to fall 1.2% following weaker readouts from purchasing manager surveys amid soaring oil prices, which have dented household budgets and expectations for future income.

Analysts believe the current "soft patch," the term Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan used to describe a similar slowdown last year, will be only temporary. But they caution that something unexpected such as further sharp increases in energy prices could make that forecast too optimistic.

May 02, 2005

Fingers in evreyones pie/ Thanks Susan D.

Republican Chairman Exerts Pressure on PBS, Alleging Biases
By STEPHEN LABATON, LORNE MANLY
and ELIZABETH JENSEN

Published: May 2, 2005


ASHINGTON, May 1 - The Republican chairman of the Corporation for Public Broadcasting is aggressively pressing public television to correct what he and other conservatives consider liberal bias, prompting some public broadcasting leaders - including the chief executive of PBS - to object that his actions pose a threat to editorial independence.

Without the knowledge of his board, the chairman, Kenneth Y. Tomlinson, contracted last year with an outside consultant to keep track of the guests' political leanings on one program, "Now With Bill Moyers."

In late March, on the recommendation of administration officials, Mr. Tomlinson hired the director of the White House Office of Global Communications as a senior staff member, corporation officials said. While she was still on the White House staff, she helped draft guidelines governing the work of two ombudsmen whom the corporation recently appointed to review the content of public radio and television broadcasts.

Mr. Tomlinson also encouraged corporation and public broadcasting officials to broadcast "The Journal Editorial Report," whose host, Paul Gigot, is editor of the conservative editorial page of The Wall Street Journal. And while a search firm has been retained to find a successor for Kathleen A. Cox, the corporation's president and chief executive, whose contract was not renewed last month, Mr. Tomlinson has made clear to the board that his choice is Patricia Harrison, a former co-chairwoman of the Republican National Committee who is now an assistant secretary of state.

Mr. Tomlinson said that he was striving for balance and had no desire to impose a political point of view on programming, explaining that his efforts are intended to help public broadcasting distinguish itself in a 500-channel universe and gain financial and political support.

"My goal here is to see programming that satisfies a broad constituency," he said, adding, "I'm not after removing shows or tampering internally with shows."

But he has repeatedly criticized public television programs as too liberal overall, and said in the interview, "I frankly feel at PBS headquarters there is a tone deafness to issues of tone and balance."

Fingers in evreyones pie/ Thanks Susan D.

Republican Chairman Exerts Pressure on PBS, Alleging Biases
By STEPHEN LABATON, LORNE MANLY
and ELIZABETH JENSEN

Published: May 2, 2005


ASHINGTON, May 1 - The Republican chairman of the Corporation for Public Broadcasting is aggressively pressing public television to correct what he and other conservatives consider liberal bias, prompting some public broadcasting leaders - including the chief executive of PBS - to object that his actions pose a threat to editorial independence.

Without the knowledge of his board, the chairman, Kenneth Y. Tomlinson, contracted last year with an outside consultant to keep track of the guests' political leanings on one program, "Now With Bill Moyers."

In late March, on the recommendation of administration officials, Mr. Tomlinson hired the director of the White House Office of Global Communications as a senior staff member, corporation officials said. While she was still on the White House staff, she helped draft guidelines governing the work of two ombudsmen whom the corporation recently appointed to review the content of public radio and television broadcasts.

Mr. Tomlinson also encouraged corporation and public broadcasting officials to broadcast "The Journal Editorial Report," whose host, Paul Gigot, is editor of the conservative editorial page of The Wall Street Journal. And while a search firm has been retained to find a successor for Kathleen A. Cox, the corporation's president and chief executive, whose contract was not renewed last month, Mr. Tomlinson has made clear to the board that his choice is Patricia Harrison, a former co-chairwoman of the Republican National Committee who is now an assistant secretary of state.

Mr. Tomlinson said that he was striving for balance and had no desire to impose a political point of view on programming, explaining that his efforts are intended to help public broadcasting distinguish itself in a 500-channel universe and gain financial and political support.

"My goal here is to see programming that satisfies a broad constituency," he said, adding, "I'm not after removing shows or tampering internally with shows."

But he has repeatedly criticized public television programs as too liberal overall, and said in the interview, "I frankly feel at PBS headquarters there is a tone deafness to issues of tone and balance."